Ravens vs. Dolphins odds, predictions, betting trends for NFL ‘Thursday Night Football’
When the Ravens (6-2) travel to South Florida to take on the Dolphins (2-7) to open NFL Week 10 on « Thursday Night Football » (8:20 p.m. ET, Fox, NFL Network, Amazon Prime Video), they will look to continue pushing towards the No.1 seed in the AFC playoffs. Meanwhile, the Dolphins will continue to try to walk towards respectability after beating the Texans last week, their first win since Week 1.
Lamar Jackson steps up to a high level out of necessity, with the Ravens’ defense struggling more than usual and the team reduced to a veteran street committee running back. Her # 1 target was wide receiver Marquise Brown. The two are from near Miami and destroyed the Dolphins’ defense for a huge game two years ago, when Brown was a rookie and Jackson became a full-time starter in the Year. 2.
On the other hand, Jackson’s counterpart is in doubt after Tua Tagovailoa (left finger) missed Week 9 and is a game time decision. Jacoby Brissett could get the green light again with the big challenge to try and beat Jackson as a runner and passer. Both defenses were disappointing, but Miami was much worse than Baltimore.
Here’s everything you need to know about betting on the Ravens vs the Dolphins in Week 10, including updated odds, trends and our expert’s prediction for “Monday Night Football”.
WEEK 10 NFL CHOICES: Against the spread | Directly
Ravens vs. Dolphins for « Thursday Night Football »
- Disseminate: Ravens by 7.5
- Above / Below: 46.5
- Cash : Ravens -390, Dolphins +310
The Ravens continued to be more than touchdown favorites in the game and it didn’t matter whether Tagovailoa or Brissett started against Jackson except for the points total. Baltimore is fiery offensively after the pass while Miami was pretty cool even beating Houston last week.
(betting odds by FanDuel Sportsbook)
All-time series Ravens vs. Dolphins
The Ravens have the 10-6 advantage in a nearly full season of previous meetings. The Ravens have a three-game winning streak and fought in Miami to open Jackson’s 2019 MVP season, 59-10. They won the 2017 match 40-0 and the 2016 match 38-6. Baltimore has dominated these competitions and also won 8 of 9, with the Dolphins last winning in 2015.
Three trends to know
—88 percent of punters split like the Dolphins to keep it up after beating the Texans and covering themselves as the home night underdogs.
—56 percent of over / under bettors follow the trend for both teams and go with the game below point total.
—The Ravens are just 4-6 ATS in their last 10 games, including the playoffs, despite going 7-3. Only half of those games have exceeded the points total. The Dolphins are 2-6-1 ATS and 2-8 in a row in their last 10 games. Only half of those games have exceeded the points total.
Three things to watch out for
Jackson vying (and passing) again for MVP
With plenty of AFC quarterbacks grappling with funks this season and only Tom Brady shining in the NFC, Jackson’s enhanced wire-to-wire action put the Ravens on their backs when they needed him most so as the defense sagged. He leads the league in fourth quarter comebacks and winning records, with four of six games. However, he probably won’t need to lead the Ravens from behind.
Brissett vs. Tagovailoa in the Dolphins’ offense
Miami intended to open up the passing game and stretch the pitch better in 2021. But with Tagovailoa injured several times and the limitations of Brissett’s arms, they started relying heavily on a short to intermediate to high attack. volume. Wide receiver Jaylen Waddle and tight end Mike Gesicki were key in that and are having good games here.
Le’Veon Bell is coming home too
Bell was often seen in South Beach spending time away from Ravens rival the Steelers. He’s having fun helping Devonta Freeman in the Ravens’ replacement game for JK Dobbins and Gus Edwards. Bell could have a big underhanded impact playing closer against a run defense that only ranks 17th in the NFL.
Stat that matters
391.9. That’s the average number of total offensive yards the Dolphins give up per game, ranking them 30th in the NFL season just ahead of the Seahawks and Jets. It’s a decent drop from Miami finishing No.19 under defensive coach Brian Flores last season. Baltimore’s offense has too many assets to think the Dolphins’ defense will be able to outdo themselves at home.
Prediction Ravens vs. Dolphins
Jackson and Brown won’t hook up exactly the way they did in Week 1 of 2019, but this match is great for them to hook up multiple times downstream. They can also race all over the Dolphins with Jackson leading the way as an unofficial member of the committee. The Ravens will have a little trouble with the Dolphins’ key players, but the return game for the quarterback and wide receiver will look like the first time around.
Ravens 38, Dolphins 10
