NHL Daily Betting Guide: January 22
Having a little skin in the game can make watching NHL hockey even more exciting.
During the 2021-22 season, Daily Faceoff will help you become an improved bettor with this betting model and our betting tools.
Every day we will review every match, sports betting odds (via PointsBet) and odds for every winning team based on the model created by Philippe Boulsink. Based on these two numbers, we can quickly identify which teams to bet on, which teams to avoid and which lines to watch throughout the day.
You can quickly determine which teams are the best bets by following this simple table:
All “recommended bets” are 1 unit bets.
I will also provide best bet analysis and update this post throughout the day to report important news regarding injuries, roster changes and the departure of reserve goalkeepers.
The number to watch is the « Diff ». which is the percentage difference between the projected Win% of the model and the projected Win% based on PointsBet odds. To find out how odds convert to percentages, use our odds calculator.
Recommended bets
Buffalo Sabers (against PHI)
The Sabers come into Saturday afternoon’s game having lost nine of their last 11 (2-6-3), while being outscored 3.5 to 2.3 per game. However, they were missing key bodies in most of those matches, but their top 6 will be mostly intact today. Meanwhile, the Flyers are on their second 10-game losing streak of the season, averaging just 1.9 goals per game during that streak. Something has to give in this game and the model loves Buffalo as a +122 home underdog.
The Flyers will be without Sean Couturier, Kevin Hayes, Joel Farabee, Ryan Ellis, Nate Thompson, Patrick Brown and Sam Morin.
Bet 1 unit: BUF +122
New York Islanders (vs. TOR)
The Islanders shut out the Coyotes last night and the Maple Leafs have lost three of the first five games of their road trip, which ends tonight. With Ilya Sorokin facing just 17 shots last night, there’s a chance he could start both games in a row. That would help the Islanders’ chances even more. The Maple Leafs will go with Petr Mrazek, which is also better for the Islanders, although Jack Campbell has struggled recently. The model still sees Toronto as -117 favorites in this game, but sees a lot of value on the Islanders at +154.
Bet 1 unit: NYI +154
Proceed with caution ⚠️
Carolina Hurricanes (@NJD)
The model likes the Hurricanes at the end of a back-to-back at -172, but it’s one to watch. If Frederik Andersen starts again or if Antti Raanta is ready then that would be a gamble. If Jack LaFontaine makes his first career start, it would be a moment to avoid.
Bet 1 unit: CAR -172 (if Andersen or Raanta leave).
Tyler Yaremchuk’s picks
Game choice
Carolina Hurricanes in regulation against New Jersey Devils (-115)
The Canes outshot Rangers last night, allowing just 23 shots against one of the best teams in the Eastern Conference. Carolina has also been a great bet on the road this season, going 14-4-1 while the Devils are just 9-8-3 at home. They’re also expected to start Jon Gillies, so whoever Carolina leaves, they’ll have the advantage between the pipes. I also take the Flyers in regulation against Buffalo this afternoon at +110.
Choice of accessories
Andre Burakovsky over 0.5 assists against the Montreal Canadiens (+125)
The Avalanche are an insane -600 favorite against Montreal today and given that, I can’t believe Burakovsky is +125 to get an assist. He’s the only Avs player that PointsBet offers more money to get an apple and he’s actually picked up one in four of his last five and seven of his last 10. I had a swipe last night on my picks, so hopefully that’s the start of a heater!
