NHL Daily Betting Guide: April 14

Having a little skin in the game can make watching NHL hockey even more exciting.

During the 2021-22 season, Daily Faceoff will help you become an improved bettor with this betting model and our betting tools.

Every day we will review every match, sports betting odds (via PointsBet) and odds for every winning team based on the model created by Philippe Boulsink. Based on these two numbers, we can quickly identify which teams to bet on, which teams to avoid and which lines to watch throughout the day.

You can quickly determine which teams are the best bets by following this simple table:

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All “recommended bets” are 1 unit bets.

I will also provide best bet analysis and update this post throughout the day to report important news regarding injuries, roster changes and the departure of reserve goalkeepers.

The number to watch is the « Diff ». which is the percentage difference between the projected Win% of the model and the projected Win% based on PointsBet odds. To find out how odds convert to percentages, use our odds calculator.

Sheet: 70-65
Units: -0.12
ROI: -0.09%

Washington Capitals (@TOR)

The Capitals are +159 underdogs on the road in Toronto, but the model sees them closer to +130. They’re on an impressive four-game winning streak, beating the Lightning, Penguins, Bruins and Flyers. During that streak, they averaged 5.8 goals for and 2.5 goals against.

They play very well but have question marks. Evgeny Kuznetsov (ill) and Dmitry Orlov (lower body) will be game-time deciders. The line probably won’t move much between now and warm-ups, so it’s probably best to wait and see if Kuznetsov and/or Orlov are in the game before betting on the Capitals in a tough game.

1 Unit Bet: WSH +159 (if Kuznetsov plays)


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