NHL Daily Betting Guide – 3/23/23
Welcome to our betting guide brought to you by NHL betting site Betway!
Having a little skin in the game can make watching NHL hockey even more exciting.
During the 2022-23 season, Daily Faceoff will help you become a better bettor with this betting model and our betting tools.
CHOICE OF NHL MODELS
Every day we will look at every game, sports betting odds (via Betway) and every team’s win odds based on the model created by Philippe Boulsink. Based on these two numbers, we can quickly identify which teams to bet on, which teams to avoid and which lines to watch throughout the day.
You can quickly determine which teams are the best bets by following this simple table:
I will also provide best bet analysis and update this post throughout the day to report important news regarding injuries, roster changes and the departure of reserve goalkeepers.
The number to watch is the « Diff ». which is the percentage difference between the projected Win% of the model and the projected Win% based on Betway odds. To find out how odds convert to percentages, use our odds calculator.
Thursday March 23
PARIS GUIDE PRESENTED BY BETWAY
Season so far
- File: 122-123
- Units: +21.74
- ROI: +8.87%
Bets recommended 💰
The Blues lost to the Red Wings in a shootout on Tuesday and enter Thursday with +111 road underdogs. The model likes the Blues in a rebounding effort. Detroit has the worst 5v5 GF% (29.7%) in their last 10 games, while the Blues are 10th on that streak (55.3%). The model likes the Blues as favorites, so getting them for more money is good value.
The Predators continue to perform well despite missing several key players and being sellers at the trade deadline. They enter the night just four points out of the playoffs with two games in hand. The market seems to be expecting Roman Josi to miss Thursday’s game, but there seems to be a chance he could be back. Getting the Predators ahead of this news would be good value if he plays. Otherwise, they’re the underdogs at home against a Seattle team that’s been inconsistent this season.
The Golden Knights have won six of their last seven games averaging 4.4 goals per game. Their offense will be looking to stay hot against a Flames team that has lost nine of its last 14 games while allowing 3.3 goals per game. The model sees this play as a coin-flip, so getting them as +120 underdogs is good value. Vegas is 2-1 with an average of 4.3 goals for and 2.7 goals against in three games against the Flames this season.
The Penguins are coming off a massive win at Colorado last night and are big +141 underdogs at the end of a straight game tonight at Dallas. The Penguins’ underlying metrics suggest they’re playing better than the results indicate. They are second in the NHL in 5v5 xGF% (60.1) in their last 10 games despite going 4-5-1. In the past two months, the Stars have only won 10 in their last 23 games (10-6-7), so they haven’t been at their best.
