NHL Daily Betting Guide – 06/01/23 – Daily Puck Drop

Welcome to our betting guide brought to you by NHL betting site Betway!

Having a little skin in the game can make watching NHL hockey even more exciting.

During the 2022-23 season, Daily Faceoff will help you become a better bettor with this betting model and our betting tools.

Every day we will look at every game, sports betting odds (via Betway) and every team’s win odds based on the model created by Philippe Boulsink. Based on these two numbers, we can quickly identify which teams to bet on, which teams to avoid and which lines to watch throughout the day.

You can quickly determine which teams are the best bets by following this simple table:

I will also provide best bet analysis and update this post throughout the day to report important news regarding injuries, roster changes and the departure of reserve goalkeepers.

The number to watch is the « Diff ». which is the percentage difference between the projected Win% of the model and the projected Win% based on Betway odds. To find out how odds convert to percentages, use our odds calculator.


Season so far

  • File: 61-42
  • Units: +23.78
  • ROI: +23.08%

Recommended bets 💰

Florida Panthers (@DET) ML-151

The Panthers may be below 0.500, but they lead the NHL in xGF/60 (3.63), so they’re probably a bit undervalued in the market. The Red Wings are 22nd (2.95), so that’s a bigger offset than the -151 line suggests. The model sees the now healthy Panthers as -177 favorites. Sergei Bobrovsky has dominated the Red Wings in recent years, winning nine of his last 10 games with a 1.46 average, .949 SV% and one shutout.

Bet of 2 units: FLA ML -151

New York Islanders (@CGY) ML +197

The Islanders have been inconsistent lately, dominating the Panthers, Penguins and Canucks but getting crushed by the Kraken and Oilers in recent weeks. Still, +197 looks like a huge overreaction, according to our model. He sees the Islanders as +118 underdogs, so even if you demote them a few cents because of Semyon Varlamov, there’s still a ton of value on them at +197.

Bet 1 unit: NYI ML +197

Stay away 🚫

Tampa Bay Lightning (@WPG) ML-103

The model loves Tampa Bay in Winnipeg, but he can’t see the Lightning being without Victor Hedman (staff). Moreover, Andrei Vasilevskiy’s status is uncertain due to illness. It’s officially a game time decision.

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