NFL Pick, Week 11 Prediction: Cam-led Panthers beat WFT; Chargers sink the Steelers; The Seahawks upset the Cardinals


The much-publicized game between the Dallas Cowboys and the Kansas City Chiefs will garner the most attention in Week 11.

Sure. It’s Patrick Mahomes and Dak Prescott and two of the best offensives in the NFL. There are three other team games with records of .500 or better that will influence the image of the AFC playoffs.

Indianapolis heads to Buffalo and the Colts will look to build on their momentum after a slow start. The Bengals are slim road favorites against the Raiders in a two-team battle that must come out of back-to-back losing streaks. Sunday night’s football game between the Steelers and Chargers should also be fun. These are the games to watch.

They will become more important as the season progresses.

Each week, Sporting News selects NFL games directly. An overview of our achievements to date:

  • Week 10: 6-7-1
  • Total: 94-55-1

With that in mind, here are our picks and predictions for week 11:

The Titans take over; Cowboys, Patriots shoot; Buccaneers and Ravens drop for week 11

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NFL picks, predictions for week 11

  • New England Patriots (-6) vs. Atlanta Falcons

Thursday, 8:20 p.m., FOX / NFL Network

The Patriots have won and covered the spread in four straight games. The Falcons have been irregular from week to week and have yet to win a home game. New England have 11 sacks and are averaging two picks per game during that streak.

To take: Patriots 28, Falcons 20

Results: Patriots 25, Falcons 0

  • Indianapolis Colts vs. Buffalo Bills (-7)

Sunday, 1 p.m., CBS

The Colts are a different team with a healthy Carson Wentz and a ground control attack led by Jonathan Taylor. However, they lost one score to Baltimore and Tennessee, and the Bills have the best statistical defense in the league.

To take: Tickets 20, Colts 17

  • Baltimore Ravens (-6) vs. Chicago Bears

Sunday, 1 p.m., CBS

The Bears have had a week off and the Ravens have just suffered an embarrassing road loss in Miami. The Ravens are 6-3 after a loss in the past three seasons with Lamar Jackson, who will bounce back enough against at Soldier Field.

To take: Ravens 27, Bear 21

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  • Detroit Lions vs. Cleveland Browns (-12.5)

Sunday, 1 p.m., FOX

Baker Mayfield’s critics are back in force and the Browns’ margin of error to advance to the AFC playoffs is shrinking. Nick Chubb is expected to be back from the COVID-19 roster, however, and the Lions rank 30th against the race. It’s a good reminder of Cleveland.

To take: Browns 30, Lions 19

  • Houston Texans vs. Tennessee Titans (-10)

Sunday, 1 p.m., CBS

The Titans have only managed 67.5 rushing yards over the past two weeks, but Houston has allowed 136.9 rushing yards per game. D’Onta Foreman and Adrian Peterson will host the racing game, and the Titans continue to find ways to win.

To take: Titans 27, Texans 17

  • Green Bay Packers (-1) to Minnesota Vikings

Sunday, 1 p.m., FOX

This is a kitchen sink game for the Vikings, who can’t afford to fall further behind in the NFC North race. The Packers have won the last two at Minnesota and Rodgers is 7-6 for his career. Minnesota, which has been in eight games at one point this season, could draw that stunner. We trust the Packers defense (that’s right) in a tight defense.

To take: Packers 26, Vikings 25

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  • Miami Dolphins (-3.5) vs. New York Jets

Sunday, 1 p.m., CBS

The Jets have allowed 43.8 points per game in their last four games, and Mike White is coming off a four-steal performance against Buffalo. The Dolphins’ defense came up against Baltimore, but the offense also faces the same challenges.

To take: Jets 23, Dolphins 20

  • New Orleans Saints v Philadelphia Eagles (-2.5)

Sunday, 1 p.m., FOX

The Eagles are 0-4 at home, a pattern that shows their maddening inconsistency from week to week. Trevor Siemian continues to replace the Saints quarterback, and he has yet to throw an interception. If the Saints play clean, then they can turn the road upside down.

To take: Saints 24, Eagles 21

  • Washington Football Team vs. Carolina Panthers (-3)

Sunday, 1 p.m., FOX

Bank of America Stadium will be excited for the return of Cam Newton, who will see the majority of the first-team reps this week. It’s also the return of former Carolina coach Ron Rivera, who surprised Washington against Tampa Bay. The Panthers are starting to move closer to the playoff conversation with another win.

To take: Panthers 26, Washington 22

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  • San Francisco 49ers (-6.5) to Jacksonville Jaguars

Sunday, 1 p.m., FOX

The Niners are flying across the country in a short week to face a team from Jacksonville that have played one-baseman in three of the past four weeks. The Jaguars can absolutely steal this game, but we trust the 49ers to make just enough games on the road.

To take: 49ers 20, Jaguars 17

  • Cincinnati Bengals (-1) vs. Las Vegas Raiders

Sunday, 4:05 p.m., CBS

The Bengals are slight road favorites against the Raiders, whose season slips after back-to-back losses to the Giants and Chiefs. Cincinnati had a week off to prepare for it after back-to-back losses to the Jets and Browns. If Joe Burrow can avoid the big deal, the Bengals will come away with a road victory that will appear later in the playoff race.

To take: Bengals 23, Raiders 20

  • Arizona Cardinals (-1.5) against Seattle Seahawks

Sunday, 4:25 p.m., FOX

Does Kyler Murray play? Otherwise, this game becomes much more difficult to choose. The Seahawks were shut out in Russell Wilson’s first start, and they must play with a sense of desperation here. The Cardinals have won four of the last six games in Seattle, a strange trend the Seahawks are finding a way to reverse.

To take: Seahawks 23, Cardinals 20

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  • Dallas Cowboys vs. Kansas City Chiefs (-2.5)

Sunday, 4:25 p.m., FOX

It should be one of the most entertaining games of the season. The Chiefs rediscovered their mojo after wins against the Raiders and Packers. Kansas City has a +3 turnover rate in these games. Dallas, meanwhile, is trying to keep up with the NFC seed. Mahomes and Prescott will do a show, but we’re sticking with the home team.

To take: Chefs 31, Cowboys 28

  • Pittsburgh Steelers vs Los Angeles Chargers (-5.5)

Sunday, 8:20 p.m., NBC

Ben Roethlisberger could return from the COVID-19 roster, and they’ll need him after last week’s draw against the Lions without a win. The Chargers are 2-3 at home, and that includes losses to playoff contenders the Cowboys, Patriots and Vikings. They must win one here.

To take: Chargers 26, Steelers 22

  • New York Giants against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-10.5)

Sunday, 8:15 p.m., ESPN

The Buccaneers have lost back-to-back games and have failed to cover three of the past four weeks. Tampa Bay also beat New York 25-23 in an ugly prime-time victory last year. That said, Tom Brady set the tone for the week with a two-minute press conference after the loss to Washington. The Buccaneers are having a good game.

To take: Buccaneers 34, Giants 18


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