Having a little skin in the game can make watching NHL hockey even more exciting.
During the 2021-22 season, Daily Faceoff will help you become an improved bettor with this betting model and our betting tools.
Every day we will review every match, sports betting odds (via PointsBet) and odds for every winning team based on the model created by Philippe Boulsink. Based on these two numbers, we can quickly identify which teams to bet on, which teams to avoid and which lines to watch throughout the day.
You can quickly determine which teams are the best bets by following this simple table:
All “recommended bets” are 1 unit bets.
I will also provide best bet analysis and update this post throughout the day to report important news regarding injuries, roster changes and the departure of reserve goalkeepers.
The number to watch is the « Diff ». which is the percentage difference between the projected Win% of the model and the projected Win% based on PointsBet odds. To find out how odds convert to percentages, use our odds calculator.
St. Louis Blues (vs. SEA)
The Blues have -192 favorites, but the dummy considers them the biggest favorites (-314) on the 11-game roster. The Kraken are coming to the end of a straight game and have lost 10 of their last 13 games on the road. Meanwhile, the Blues have won 11 of their last 12 home games, while outscoring their opponents 50-23 – averaging 4.2 goals for and 1.9 goals against per game.
1 unit bet: STL -192
I’m going to agree with the model on this one. The reason I like the pick is that St. Louis has been dominant at home this season, going 14-3-2 and covering the puck line in 10 of those wins.
The Kraken have been bad on the road, going 4-10-2 and losing seven of those games by two or more goals. They are also coming off a 5-2 loss to Dallas last night.
I like the Blues rolling in this one. I’m also taking the Penguins in regulation at +105, but I’ll have more on that with The Daily Faceoff Show.
Choice of accessories
Mathew Barzal Over 0.5 assists vs. NJD (-115)
I missed last night, but I’m 5-3 in January with my player prop picks and four of those wins have paid +100 or better. Tonight I watch Mathew Barzal, who is on a seven assist streak with 11 total assists in that span.
-115 isn’t a big win, but I’ll take it considering the Islanders are up against a Devils team that has allowed 13 goals in four games this month. They will also start Jon Gillies tonight.