Getting a little skin in the game can make NHL hockey even more exciting.
During the 2021-22 season, Daily Faceoff will help you become an improved bettor with this betting model and our betting tools.
Each day we will look at each game, the sports betting odds (via PointsBet) and the odds of winning of each team based on the model created by Philippe Bulsink. Based on these two numbers, we can quickly identify which teams to bet on, which teams to avoid and which lines to watch throughout the day.
You can quickly determine which teams are the best bets by following this simple table:
All « recommended bets » are bets of 1 unit.
I will also provide analysis on the best bets and update this post throughout the day to report big news on injuries, roster changes and the departure of substitute goalkeepers.
The number to watch is the « Diff ». which is the percentage difference between the model’s projected Win% and the projected Win% based on PointsBet odds. To find out how odds turn into percentages, use our odds calculator.
Line to watch
Dallas Stars (vs. SEA)
The model does not recommend any bet this morning, but is very close to the Dallas Stars (-194). If that line moves a bit and Dallas hits -187 or better, then the Stars become a game. The Stars have been nearly unbeatable in Dallas since mid-November, winning 12 of their last 13 games at the American Airlines Center, with an average of 4.08 goals per game and 2.23 goals against per game.
Meanwhile, the Kraken have lost nine of their last 12 road games while being outscored by 3.75 to 2.67 per game.
Total goals: Toronto v Arizona over 6.0 goals overall (-110)
These two teams have regularly reached the six-goal mark in recent times. The Leafs have done so in all six games they have played this month and the Coyotes have it in three of their four games since returning from the break.
Petr Mrazek will also play for the Leafs, who are playing the second game in a row, and he has allowed 11 goals in his only three appearances this season. I love it here.
Choice of accessories
Taylor Hall more than 0.5 assists (+145)
I like the value here, considering he’s had two assists in back-to-back games and had at least one in four in his last five. He apparently found some chemistry with David Pastrnak on the Bruins’ second line and I love that they continue to roll tonight in a game against a Canadiens team who have allowed 14 goals in their last three games.