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The 2021-22 season was the first time since 2017 that Marchand hadn’t scored at a rate of more than 100 points. Missing 12 games, he ended up finishing 33rd with 80 points (32G/48A). Moreover, it was the first time that the « Perfection Line » had been broken for an extended period, but the return of David Krejci should allow Marchand, Patrice Bergeron and David Pastrnak to be reunited. They remain one of the most dominant lines in hockey, and even if Marchand doesn’t return to more than 100 points, Marchand is a sure bet for 30+ goals and 50+ assists.
Pastrnak notched his second career 40-plus-goal season and topped 30 for the fifth time in six years. Since 2017, only Auston Matthews, Alex Ovechkin, Leon Draisaitl and Connor McDavid have scored more goals than Pastrnak. Granted, his assist totals trump his goal, but he’s one of the few players to have a realistic shot in a 40-40 season every year.
Bergeron considered retiring in the offseason, but returned to the Bruins on an extremely cheap one-year, $2.5 million contract. Bergeron is coming off one of the most dominant defensive seasons in NHL history, winning his fifth Selke Trophy. Even in his mid-30s, Bergeron has averaged 35 goals and 39 assists (74 points) per 82 games over the past three seasons. Playing on one of the best lines in the NHL, Bergeron should be able to maintain that pace at 37, but don’t expect him to play all 82 games. He has missed 12.8% of games over the past four seasons.
In 97 games with the Bruins, Hall has 28 goals and 47 assists (75 points). Hall played just 10.9% of his 5-on-5 ice time with Patrice Bergeron last season. He spent 80.2% of his time with Erik Haula and Charlie Coyle, but now he’s getting David Krejci back; the duo enjoyed exceptional success in a brief run in 2021. Hall played to a 72-point (41G/31A) pace over that 16-game streak. It’s hard to buy into this small sample size, but it gives Hall plenty of sleep potential for 2022-23.
McAvoy destroyed his previous career highs with ten goals and 46 assists (56 points) in 78 games in 2021-22. The breakout coincided with a massive increase in PP usage (3:07 PP TOI/gm) as he collected 21 points on the power play, topping his PP totals from his first four years combined. With no one on the roster to challenge him for using the PP1, McAvoy is a solid No. 1 fantasy defender. He’s even more valuable in the banger leagues, as he’s one of six defenders who project 45+ points. and over 100 hits.
Krejci returned to the Czech Republic for one season, leading Olomouc HC with 46 points (20G/26A) in 51 games. His numbers in 2020 and 2021 weren’t great but he is surrounded by very talented wingers and could still get over 40 assists and 55 points if all goes well. However, with a lack of positive goals, it’s best to leave Krejci as an option at the bottom of your list.
Smith is a consistent, if not spectacular producer, up 25-25. The return of David Krejci could help Smith’s numbers in 2022-23. His xGF/60 goes from 2.61 without Krejci to 2.86 with him. It remains to be seen where Smith lands on the depth chart, so he doesn’t have enough upside to get drafted but is a solid streaming option.
Coyle played a career-high 17:24 TOI/gm in 2021-22, but David Krejci’s return should bring him closer to 16:30 TOI/gm. As a third-line center, Coyle doesn’t have enough value to be drafted.
Zacha was traded from New Jersey to Boston this offseason, and he’ll likely be stuck in the last 6 behind Brad Marchand and Taylor Hall. Zacha has never reached 20 goals or 25 assists in six seasons, so he’s nothing more than a streaming option.
DeBrusk is a tough player to project because he could play anywhere from first line to third line, as seen in 2021-22. He’s been a diligent producer throughout his career, which makes him difficult to field for an entire season, but he can be a great streaming option if he plays in the Bruins’ top 6.
Trying to figure out how the Bruins will award starts to Swayman and Linus Ullmark is impossible. A season ago they both started 39 games and Ullmark started the first two playoff games. Eventually, they handed things over to Swayman, who performed much better. As a result, logic would suggest he enters 2022-23 with the inside lane to become their No. 1 and potentially earn a few more starts. Additionally, the Bruins had the lowest number of expected goals in the NHL last season and should be among the best in that category this season. This makes both Swayman and Ullmark reliable fantasy starters, but they limit each other’s overall advantage. It seems unlikely that Swayman will start enough games to make him a true No. 1 fantasy option, but his splits could be among the best in the league, making him a high-end No. 2 option.
Even though Ullmark struggled in the playoffs, he was very good for the Bruins in the regular season. He had a higher winning percentage (66.7%) than Swayman (59.0%) and their shares were almost identical. He will undoubtedly be a factor this season, and even if he ends up with slightly fewer starts than Swayman, he could be just as valuable and should cost a lot less come draft day.
|Tomas Nosek||VS||71.0||6.5||13.6||20.1||-3.1||27.0||0.0||0.5||0.5||92.1||7.1%||1:35 p.m.||337.0||35.1||89.2|
|Derek Forbort||D||79.0||3.2||10.3||13.5||0.5||44.0||0.0||0.0||0.0||70.3||4.6%||5:42 p.m.||0.0||112.9||120.5|